SelectionSquareSteals & Busts

Best #1 picks

Players who beat what their draft slot usually produces by the most. How this works

  1. 1Bruce SmithHOFAll-Pro ×8Pro Bowl ×11DE · #1 in 1985 by Buffalo BillsSSI_Val 246 vs 73 expected at #1+173
  2. 2Peyton ManningHOFAll-Pro ×7Pro Bowl ×14QB · #1 in 1998 by Indianapolis ColtsSSI_Val 244 vs 73 expected at #1+171
  3. 3John ElwayHOFPro Bowl ×9QB · #1 in 1983 by Baltimore ColtsSSI_Val 159 vs 73 expected at #1+86
  4. 4Orlando PaceHOFAll-Pro ×3Pro Bowl ×7T · #1 in 1997 by St. Louis RamsSSI_Val 149 vs 73 expected at #1+76
  5. 5Myles GarrettAll-Pro ×5Pro Bowl ×7Still playingDE · #1 in 2017 by Cleveland BrownsSSI_Val 127 vs 73 expected at #1+54
  6. 6Matthew StaffordAll-Pro ×1Pro Bowl ×3Still playingQB · #1 in 2009 by Detroit LionsSSI_Val 124 vs 73 expected at #1+51
  7. 7Troy AikmanHOFPro Bowl ×6QB · #1 in 1989 by Dallas CowboysSSI_Val 121 vs 73 expected at #1+48
  8. 8Irving FryarPro Bowl ×5WR · #1 in 1984 by New England PatriotsSSI_Val 111 vs 73 expected at #1+38
  9. 9Eli ManningPro Bowl ×4QB · #1 in 2004 by San Diego ChargersSSI_Val 110 vs 73 expected at #1+37
  10. 10Vinny TestaverdePro Bowl ×2QB · #1 in 1987 by Tampa Bay BuccaneersSSI_Val 106 vs 73 expected at #1+33
  11. 11Alex SmithPro Bowl ×3QB · #1 in 2005 by San Francisco 49ersSSI_Val 99 vs 73 expected at #1+26
  12. 12Drew BledsoePro Bowl ×4QB · #1 in 1993 by New England PatriotsSSI_Val 95 vs 73 expected at #1+22
  13. 13Carson PalmerPro Bowl ×3QB · #1 in 2003 by Cincinnati BengalsSSI_Val 90 vs 73 expected at #1+17
  14. 14Mario WilliamsAll-Pro ×1Pro Bowl ×4DE · #1 in 2006 by Houston TexansSSI_Val 85 vs 73 expected at #1+12
  15. 15Keyshawn JohnsonPro Bowl ×3WR · #1 in 1996 by New York JetsSSI_Val 84 vs 73 expected at #1+11
  16. 16Jared GoffPro Bowl ×5Still playingQB · #1 in 2016 by Los Angeles RamsSSI_Val 81 vs 73 expected at #1+8
  17. 17Dan WilkinsonDT · #1 in 1994 by Cincinnati BengalsSSI_Val 80 vs 73 expected at #1+7
  18. 18Cam NewtonAll-Pro ×1Pro Bowl ×3QB · #1 in 2011 by Carolina PanthersSSI_Val 80 vs 73 expected at #1+7
  19. 19Jadeveon ClowneyPro Bowl ×3Still playingDE · #1 in 2014 by Houston TexansSSI_Val 78 vs 73 expected at #1+5
  20. 20Russell MarylandPro Bowl ×1DT · #1 in 1991 by Dallas CowboysSSI_Val 69 vs 73 expected at #1−4
  21. 21Michael VickPro Bowl ×4QB · #1 in 2001 by Atlanta FalconsSSI_Val 65 vs 73 expected at #1−8
  22. 22Jake LongAll-Pro ×1Pro Bowl ×4T · #1 in 2008 by Miami DolphinsSSI_Val 64 vs 73 expected at #1−9
  23. 23Eric FisherPro Bowl ×2T · #1 in 2013 by Kansas City ChiefsSSI_Val 61 vs 73 expected at #1−12
  24. 24Jeff GeorgeQB · #1 in 1990 by Indianapolis ColtsSSI_Val 58 vs 73 expected at #1−15
  25. 25Baker MayfieldPro Bowl ×2Still playingQB · #1 in 2018 by Cleveland BrownsSSI_Val 56 vs 73 expected at #1−17